The closer we get to Christmas, the more people ask: Will we have a white Christmas this year?
The chances of snow cover of 2 cm or more on Christmas morning varies from province to province and region to region but, luckily, The Weather Network is on it.
Compared to other weather agencies, The Weather Network takes a unique approach to the prediction, completely eschewing statistical data.
"Yes, in the past, we may have had snow on the ground, but that doesn't really tell us what's happening right now," Weather Network meteorologist Dayna Vettese says.
Instead, the Weather Network instead takes into account how much snow is on the ground at a given location, then looks at the forecast, focusing as narrowly as possible.
Plenty of snow has already fallen in the west this season, making a white Christmas almost a guarantee, with some tricky, and significant, exceptions.
In eastern Canada, it's a little dicier, especially for areas where no real snowfall has happened yet. But even if there is snow on the ground, that in itself is not a guarantee.
"If you've got a centimetre of snow on the ground, but we're forecasting a lot of rain, or temperatures to be fairly warm, it's almost a safe bet that the snow will disappear before Christmas," Vettese says. "That said, if you've got thirty-plus centimetres on the ground, and you're going to be well below freezing up until Christmas, that snow is going to stick around for sure."
As the weather changes, so will The Weather Network's day-to-day predictions.
"We'll be updating it right up until Christmas morning, making sure we have the most up-to-date information with storm systems, snow packs and temperatures that are forecast," Vettese says.
Check back every day leading up to Christmas for updated and accurate maps showing which parts of eastern and western Canada are guaranteed or probably to see a white Christmas, or are facing only a slight chance.